And so, because of that, there's a wide range of snowfall totals expected. So, you're going to get probably pretty big differences between a place like Great Barrington and a place like Windsor or Savoy in the northeast part of the county, the Berkshires. What are you expecting?Īs is the case of a lot of March storms, especially ones that don't have a big source of surface cold air just to the north, which this one does not, it's an elevation dependent snowstorm. We're speaking on the eve of what's supposed to be the biggest storm of the season, speaking of March winter weather. So, those are those are some things that I've noticed. Obviously, it was quite mild in February. So, I've noticed over the past five or six years that our pattern for winter kind of sets up more towards March and April than it does in January and February. The other thing that I've noticed is, over the past five or six years, I've noticed the winter pattern doesn't seem to really haven't really been setting up in earnest until late in the season, astronomically. And so that's definitely something that I've noticed this year, as was the case last year. I mean, it's been a mild winter, and we're definitely way below average in terms of snowfall. What is your take on our winter season so far, Dave? Are you seeing any sort of trends or any sort of historical context for what kind of winter it's been in Western Mass? And I just kind of put it out in as plain language as I can to try to explain it to people who aren't necessarily as interested in the weather as I am. And I just kind of take all that information, I read as much of it as I can and look at observations, and then I kind of put it all together with my knowledge of the various microclimates in Western Massachusetts, since I've been here for 35 years. So, they're kind of where the weather's coming from. They're not necessarily in New England, some of them are what's called downstream. And then I have sources that I, information and data that I pay for, model guidance and access to other private meteorologists to understand how they're seeing certain storms. I, of course, I read area forecasts discussions by the local National Weather Service offices in Boston and Albany and sometimes as far afield as Long Island and Binghamton. Well, there's a number of sources that I have. Can you break that down for us? How do you go about doing that? WAMC: Dave, I think part of what makes your webpage so appealing to people is your ability to aggregate weather from a number of sources into easily digestible takeaways from what's going on in the cosmos, as it were. And then sometime in 2013, when the blizzard of 2013 hit, I decided to commit to it and do it on a daily basis, which I've been doing for about a decade now. And then I decided, when I thought I might be annoying some people who didn't care about the weather, I started my own weather page in August of 2011 and kind of did that for a month and a half, just when I felt like it. I had some friends – I was off of Facebook – I had friends that told me they were reaching out trying to find me to see what I had to say about the tornado, and then that got me back on Facebook to try to be more in touch with folks. HAYES: So, it started back right after the June 1st tornado. As the region braces for a Nor’easter that will bring heavy snow from tonight through Wednesday morning, WAMC caught up with Hayes to find out more about the origins of his fascination with the weather as well as his expectations for the storm. Based in the Pioneer Valley, the Weather Nut brings a communal sensibility to the weather by soliciting on-the-spot reports from his fans to pair their observations with his forecasting. Hayes’ blend of colorful graphics and simple explanations of often complex weather patterns have garnered him over 50,000 followers on Facebook and thousands more on Twitter. For the past decade, Dave Hayes has been better known as the Weather Nut, building an audience on social media with his daily forecasts for Western Massachusetts.
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